The death of optical disc.....

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Scrat

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Ok still a bit early to have such a sensational subject headline, but an interesting read:

http://techcrunch.com/2010/10/20/a-compact-death/

Got me thinking, would we still have optical discs in say, 10 years? Or 20 years? If USB flash drives production cost drops below a certain price point, would it not make more sense to stop producing optical discs (cd/dvd/bluray)?

How far are we from that point, taking into account that a CD manufacturing cost is ridiculously low, if that is even a factor?
 
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