HD Downloads are already a reality in the States, and at a seminar yesterday it was stated that the BBC wants to put its entire archive online for streaming.
Missed yesterdays BBC HD movie of the week! No problem log on and stream it.
Yes there will be big push to get BluRay into the mainstream, and yes lots of people will buy into it, particularly in bandwidth hamstrung areas.
But even we in SA will be getting decent connectivity, as there area few undersea cables on the way and these have to be in place to support the IT requirements of 2010.
The first of these cables (I forget the name) Will be running far sooner than 2010, and as it is a private initiative, it will not be hamstrung by govt incompetence.
The biggest issues will be DRM, which I think is a waste of time anyway, and codecs.